Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.176734 0.205269 0.236982 0.274854 0.318867 0.368433 0.428529
2025-04-06 0.129105 0.166199 0.211861 0.272256 0.350153 0.447401 0.578304
2025-04-13 0.104856 0.144894 0.197771 0.272833 0.376889 0.516424 0.718425
2025-04-20 0.092256 0.135067 0.194950 0.285016 0.417472 0.605818 0.895301
2025-04-27 0.082244 0.126572 0.191735 0.294773 0.454271 0.692917 1.079306
2025-05-04 0.074007 0.119086 0.188355 0.302902 0.488538 0.779259 1.272482
2025-05-11 0.066058 0.110688 0.182087 0.305069 0.512883 0.852166 1.452889
2025-05-18 0.058558 0.101849 0.173727 0.302282 0.528064 0.911140 1.616753
2025-05-25 0.051196 0.092183 0.162626 0.293102 0.530646 0.948388 1.746772
2025-06-01 0.047588 0.088563 0.161338 0.300712 0.563316 1.041224 1.987408
2025-06-08 0.043513 0.083539 0.156864 0.301791 0.583855 1.114068 2.199462
2025-06-15 0.040568 0.080233 0.155082 0.307549 0.613644 1.207150 2.461656
2025-06-22 0.036462 0.074264 0.147716 0.301876 0.621032 1.259187 2.651648
2025-06-29 0.033143 0.069466 0.142092 0.299029 0.633848 1.323759 2.876759
2025-07-06 0.030572 0.065870 0.138419 0.299664 0.653799 1.405019 3.147704
2025-07-13 0.029450 0.065190 0.140654 0.313061 0.702631 1.552885 3.584456
2025-07-20 0.028169 0.063998 0.141637 0.323791 0.746828 1.695857 4.029107
2025-07-27 0.026841 0.062530 0.141833 0.332731 0.787999 1.836877 4.487965
2025-08-03 0.025138 0.059995 0.139337 0.335115 0.814105 1.946303 4.885397
2025-08-10 0.023222 0.056728 0.134787 0.332050 0.826726 2.025322 5.218094
2025-08-17 0.021049 0.052580 0.127703 0.321953 0.820784 2.058628 5.439003
2025-08-24 0.020184 0.051564 0.128019 0.330322 0.862366 2.214644 6.001026
2025-08-31 0.018979 0.049543 0.125637 0.331509 0.885543 2.326673 6.460546